Browsing the archives for the Uncategorized category

no surprises

U.S. equities have experienced a nice little ramp the past few days and stocks do truly seem to be range-bound. It’s hard to make money when the indices are stuck in neutral. The trick is to pick your spots and recognize that opportunities are going to be limited. The August employment report was just released [...]

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Not following the script

Once again, the stock market proves its unpredictability by exploding higher on the August ISM number, which came in higher than expected at 56.3. The consensus forecast was 53.3. Fortunately, I am not short equities and the current trade that I have on is making money. If you want to find out what I am [...]

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you read it here first…..

Even CNBC is running segments with traders who are scratching their heads about the price of oil given the current monster inventory levels. Here is a little story about it. I noted the same thing a couple of days ago in a post. Read it here. Of course, CNBC won’t come out and say that [...]

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killing us with suspense

I’m watching a little CNBC this morning (always hazardous to your investment health) and they had a segment on this morning where the gang was sitting around the table wondering what the trigger would be for the next round of QE that Bernanke promised would come if it was needed? It is times like this [...]

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Lies and deceit….

All the headlines Friday were over Bernanke’s speech from Jackon Hole, but because another round of QE is already baked into the capital markets at this point (witness the annihilation of the Treasury market after Ben’s announcement), the true story of the day was INTC’s revenue warning (here’s a little story from marketwatch) that third quarter [...]

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hyperinflation mechanism

Gonzalo Lira hits the nail on the head in this piece (hat tip to Jesse for bringing this to my attention) in which he theorizes a process by which the velocity of money increases in a dead U.S. economy to close the circle of a hyperinflationary cycle. Lira’s premise is that a collapse in the [...]

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No Soup for You

Well, the results of my informal poll are in and it turns out that NO ONE wants to be notified of busted investor trading ideas in real time via email. Which is fine. Actually, it’s a little odd to me because my last trade was a home run (QQQQ puts up 100% in three days), [...]

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Laboring in Obscurity

I’m toying with the idea of creating an email list for folks who want trading ideas in real time. I would love devote more energy to the blog and make it a full time endeavor, but when I look at the traffic figures, that might be a dicey proposition. (I’m fully aware that this is [...]

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selling a winner

One of the hardest things to do in trading is to successfully nurse a winning position to a point where one can sell it for maximum profit. In my experience, a profitable trade can literally drive a trader insane to the point where the only reasonable course of action seems to be closing the position. [...]

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things are bad

Considering how crappy the economy is here in the U.S., I have to admit that I am not all that bearish on the stock market. Granted, I am currently holding index puts on the nasdaq 100, but how can I truly hate stocks when every retail investor already absolutely despises equities? I think that it’s [...]

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